A Farewell Game with a Quick Pace

It’s hard to say for sure, but it feels like this might be the last time the Buffalo Bills play at Highmark Stadium. If that’s the case, then the Week 18 matchup against the New York Jets is likely to be the shortest game of the season. As fans prepare for what could be a bittersweet farewell, let’s take a look at what to expect from this final game.

Understanding the Time Factor

While all NFL games are 60 minutes long, the actual elapsed time can vary significantly. The current record for the shortest game this season is 2:53, set during matches against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. In contrast, the Bills’ home opener against the Baltimore Ravens lasted 3:15, which was 22 minutes longer. So, if this game follows the same pattern, fans can expect a relatively quick contest.

The Role of the Running Game

Games with a heavy emphasis on running tend to be shorter because there are fewer incomplete passes that stop the clock. In the Steelers game, there were 69 rushing plays combined, compared to 47 passing plays. The Bills accounted for 51 of those rushes, which is more than double the number of passes they threw. Against the Browns, there were 60 rushing plays and 49 passing plays, with the Bills contributing 29 of the rushes.

This trend is likely to continue in the upcoming game. The Bills have recorded 504 rushing plays this season, compared to 466 passing plays. This is due in part to quarterback Josh Allen being sacked frequently, which naturally leads to more rushing attempts. While not the most extreme ratio, the Bills have the most rushing plays in the league by default.

Why the Run Game Might Be Key

There are several reasons why the run game could dominate this week. One key factor is the Bills’ strategy to avoid injuries. With many starters potentially resting, the team may lean even more heavily on the running game to minimize risk. Additionally, if the Bills can avoid an interception, the Jets could become the first team in NFL history to finish a season without any interceptions. Head coach Sean McDermott has shown a tendency to prioritize statistics, so it’s possible he would encourage this outcome.

The Jets, on the other hand, might also benefit from a strong running game. Whether they’re playing to win or simply to move on to the next season, their sixth-best rushing average gives them a better chance of success than their 32nd-ranked passing efficiency. In their previous meeting, the Bills ran the ball 43 times, and the game lasted 2:59. It’s possible they’ll follow a similar approach this time around.

Other Factors That Could Influence the Game

Penalties typically decrease as the season progresses, and this game is no exception. Statistically, it’s the most likely game to avoid flags this season. Additionally, referees may be less inclined to call penalties in a low-stakes game. Given the lack of intensity in the rivalry this year, it’s possible that there won’t be many “crimes of passion” between the teams.

Final Thoughts

With a kickoff scheduled for 4:25 p.m. EST, fans should be prepared for a game that could end before 7:18 p.m. EST if my prediction holds true. Whether it’s the last game at Highmark Stadium or not, this matchup promises to be a memorable one—albeit a short one.