Take the points. Payton’s fourth-down gamble bites Broncos | Opinion
The Fateful Decision That Changed the Game
In a high-stakes game that could have sent the Denver Broncos to Super Bowl 60, head coach Sean Payton made a decision that would haunt him for years. The Broncos were facing the New England Patriots in the AFC championship game at Empower Field on January 25, and the outcome of the game hinged on every play. For all the twists and turns throughout the match, one moment stands out as the turning point: Payton’s controversial call to go for it on fourth-and-one rather than kicking a field goal.
The decision came early in the second quarter when the Broncos had a chance to extend their lead from 3-0 to 10-0. Instead of taking the safe route, Payton opted for a bold move, sending quarterback Jarrett Stidham on a naked bootleg pass to R.J. Harvey. The play was blown up by the Patriots’ defense, resulting in a failed attempt and a loss of momentum.
The Consequences of Aggression
Payton later explained his reasoning, saying, “I just felt like, man, we had momentum.” But with the benefit of hindsight, the decision proved to be a costly mistake. The Broncos ended up losing the game 10-7, and the missed opportunity to take the lead changed the entire course of the match.
Patriots defensive tackle Christian Barmore admitted that the play caught the team off guard. “We thought they were going to fake it, line up and not hike it,” he said. “But they didn’t. They were really going for it. When they did that, they made a mistake.”
Despite the risk, Payton’s decision was not entirely out of the ordinary. In today’s NFL, coaches often choose to go for it on fourth down in the red zone, especially when the game is on the line. However, in this case, the risk outweighed the potential reward.
The Impact of the Mistake
The missed field goal not only cost the Broncos an opportunity to build a larger lead but also handed the momentum to the Patriots. This shift in energy became critical as the game progressed, especially after a wintry mix began to affect the conditions in the second half.
The Broncos’ defense had started strong, holding the Patriots to just 12 net yards in the first quarter. However, the offensive struggles continued throughout the game. The Broncos averaged only 3.3 yards per carry and failed to run the ball effectively. Additionally, there were multiple dropped passes that plagued the offense, contributing to a lack of consistency.
A Coach’s Reflection
After the loss, Payton acknowledged the weight of his decision. “There will always be second thoughts,” he said. He also admitted that the game plan needed to be re-evaluated, particularly with regard to the backup quarterback, Stidham.
“I’m going to look at it and be critical of myself,” Payton said. “It starts with the head coach. You don’t know it is going to be this three-point game, but it became apparent that with each possession, a field goal, that type of thing, was going to be real important. We weren’t able to get it done.”
Lessons Learned
For Payton, the loss marks another heartbreak in a season filled with promise. He had rebuilt the Broncos in just three years and was on the verge of becoming the first coach to win Super Bowls with two different franchises. Now, he faces a long offseason filled with reflection and adjustments.
The Broncos had eight more possessions after the failed fourth-down attempt, but they never managed to regain control of the game. Missed field goals, three-and-out drives, and turnovers all contributed to the final outcome.
As the team looks ahead, they’ll need to learn from these hard-knock lessons. For now, the focus remains on what could have been—a missed opportunity that changed the course of the season.