Mel Kiper’s 2026 NFL Mock Draft: Titans’ Pick Revealed
Titans’ Potential First-Round Pick: David Bailey
With the No. 4 pick in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft, ESPN draft guru Mel Kiper Jr. has the Tennessee Titans selecting David Bailey, an edge defender from Texas Tech. Bailey, a unanimous All-America outside linebacker, led college football with 14.5 sacks in 2025 and is one of four pass rush specialists gaining attention as potential top-10 picks in the months leading up to April’s draft.
Alongside Ohio State’s Arvell Reese, Miami’s Rueben Bain Jr., and Auburn’s Keldric Faulk, Bailey is considered one of the standout prospects in an area where the Titans have significant needs. Kiper sees a natural fit for the team.
“Tennessee is going to be focused on two things this offseason: getting quarterback Cam Ward more help and improving the defense,” Kiper wrote. “It’s a tough call on which direction the Titans will go here, but let’s follow the board while also knowing new coach Robert Saleh is a defense guy. Bailey was outstanding this past season. His stats tell the story: 14.5 sacks, 20.2% pressure rate, 23 tackles for loss — and all at least tied for a share of first in the FBS. Pairing Bailey with defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons on the D-line could be a big step in the right direction.”
Mock Draft Details
In Kiper’s mock draft, Reese is selected at No. 2 by the New York Jets. Bailey follows as the next defensive player chosen, with Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 to the Las Vegas Raiders and Miami tackle Francis Mauigoa landing at No. 3 with the Arizona Cardinals. Bain ends up being picked No. 7 by the Washington Commanders, and Faulk lands at No. 11 with the Miami Dolphins.
If the Titans don’t go defense, Kiper suggests another path the team can take.
“As for offense,” Kiper writes, “this is a pretty deep class of pass catchers. But if Saleh decides Ward’s supporting cast is the first-round priority no matter what, then I’d expect Ohio State’s Carnell Tate to get some attention here.”
Tate is one of six receivers Kiper projects to be picked in the first round, a group that includes Arizona State’s Jordyn Tyson, USC’s Makai Lemon, Washington’s Denzel Boston, Tennessee’s Chris Brazzell II, and Georgia’s Zachariah Branch.
Who is David Bailey?
Bailey started his college career at Stanford, where he played three seasons (2022-24). The 6-foot-3, 250-pound Bailey logged 14.5 sacks and 22.5 tackles for loss across his three seasons in Palo Alto. He transferred to Texas Tech for the 2025 season and broke out on the Red Raiders’ dominant defensive front, including the aforementioned sacks, tackles for loss, plus 81 quarterback pressures, all of which led the FBS.
Kiper has Bailey ranked as the fifth-best player on his overall big board behind Mendoza, Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love, Tate, and Reese. Bailey ranks as the ninth-best player on the consensus big board, which combines the opinions of significant player rankings and mock drafts from across the media.
Performance Highlights
Bailey put up big numbers in many of Texas Tech’s marquee games in 2025. He had at least four pressures in games against Utah, Houston, and Kansas State, as well as both matchups against BYU and the Red Raiders’ College Football Playoff loss against Oregon. He primarily lined up as a stand-up outside linebacker, as opposed to Reese, who spent more of his time as an off-ball linebacker, and Bain, who primarily played with his hand down.
Nick Suss is the Titans beat writer for The Tennessean. Contact Nick at nsuss@gannett.com. Follow Nick on X @nicksuss. Subscribe to the Talkin’ Titans newsletter for updates sent directly to your inbox.